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MMA Betting Lines: UFC 109 Preview

by Bodog Sportsbook | Feb 5 2010

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Another day, another UFC card at Mandalay Bay. The top MMA organization in the world is in Las Vegas this Saturday for the third time in four PPV events; UFC 109 brings us an interesting card headlined by two 40-something ex-Heavyweight champions in Randy Couture and Mark Coleman. As you’ve no doubt heard by now, these guys are so old that they were scheduled to fight at UFC 17, way back in 1998 when the crowds were literally one-tenth as big as today.

That doesn’t mean there isn’t some fight left in both men. Couture has been written off a few times already in his storied career, only to come back with yet another victory. His most recent was a very close shave against Brandon Vera at UFC 105, each judge scoring the bout 29-28 in favor of the veteran even though Vera had the better of Couture on the mat. Coleman’s win over Stephan Bonnar at UFC 100 was much less controversial, but it’s highly debatable whether Coleman can keep up with Couture’s supreme level of conditioning.

The rest of the main card features a battle between Nate Marquardt and Chael Sonnen that should determine the next challenger to Middleweight champion Anderson Silva. Both Marquardt (primarily a striker) and Sonnen (a grappler) are fairly one-dimensional, but Marquardt has studied enough wrestling to take advantage of this situation. We’ve also got the enigmatic Paulo Thiago against the highly skilled Mike Swick, whose fundamentals should keep him out of harm’s way this Saturday. Here are the recent MMA odds for the night’s top four matchups.

Middleweight: Demian Maia (-500) vs. Dan Miller (+325)

August 29, 2009: Nate Marquardt (-175) over Maia (+145) by first-round KO
February 21, 2009: Maia (-245) over Chael Sonnen (+225) by first-round submission
November 15, 2008: Maia (-255) over Nate Quarry (+215) by first-round submission

May 23, 2009: Sonnen (+150) over Miller (-190) by unanimous decision
February 7, 2009: Miller (-210) over Jake Rosholt (+170) by first-round submission
October 25, 2008: Miller (-375) over Matt Horwich (+345) by unanimous decision

Welterweight: Mike Swick (-200) vs. Paulo Thiago (+160)

November 14, 2009: Dan Hardy (+195) over Swick (-255) by unanimous decision
June 13, 2009: Swick (-185) over Ben Saunders (+165) by second-round TKO
December 10, 2008: Swick (-385) over Jonathan Goulet (+355) by first-round TKO

November 21, 2009: Thiago (-175) over Jacob Volkmann (+155) by unanimous decision
July 11, 2009: Jon Fitch (+425) over Thiago (-625) by unanimous decision
February 21, 2009: Thiago (+450) over Josh Koscheck (-500) by first-round TKO

Middleweight: Nate Marquardt (-525) vs. Chael Sonnen (+325)

August 29, 2009: Marquardt (-175) over Maia (+145) by first-round KO
February 21, 2009: Marquardt (-340) over Wilson Gouveia (+260) by third-round TKO
September 6, 2008: Marquardt (-145) over Kampmann (+115) by first-round TKO

October 24, 2009: Sonnen (+190) over Yushin Okami (-250) by unanimous decision
May 23, 2009: Sonnen (+150) over Miller (-190) by unanimous decision
February 21, 2009: Maia (-245) over Sonnen (+225) by first-round submission

Light Heavyweight: Randy Couture (-500) vs. Mark Coleman (+325)

November 14, 2009: Couture (+150) over Brandon Vera (-170) by unanimous decision
August 29, 2009: Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (+125) over Couture (-175) by unanimous decision
November 15, 2008: Brock Lesnar (-140) over Couture (+130) by second-round TKO

July 11, 2009: Coleman (+250) over Stephan Bonnar (-350) by unanimous decision
January 17, 2009: Mauricio Rua (-365) over Coleman (+285) by third-round TKO
October 21, 2006, PRIDE: Fedor Emelianenko (NA) over Coleman by second-round submission

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